Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.008377 0.009869 0.011665 0.014020 0.017083 0.021013 0.026574
2025-07-06 0.006626 0.008446 0.010903 0.014593 0.020246 0.029072 0.045093
2025-07-13 0.005808 0.007817 0.010760 0.015655 0.024227 0.040187 0.077496
2025-07-20 0.005147 0.007205 0.010408 0.016174 0.027447 0.052008 0.126266
2025-07-27 0.004582 0.006605 0.009903 0.016227 0.029774 0.063750 0.197254
2025-08-03 0.004155 0.006141 0.009510 0.016338 0.032257 0.078152 0.321101
2025-08-10 0.003726 0.005606 0.008887 0.015814 0.033042 0.088661 0.477830
2025-08-17 0.003323 0.005062 0.008156 0.014884 0.032427 0.094203 0.645727
2025-08-24 0.003007 0.004632 0.007578 0.014157 0.032102 0.100975 0.909537
2025-08-31 0.002851 0.004464 0.007472 0.014472 0.034961 0.125689 1.978180
2025-09-07 0.002642 0.004180 0.007096 0.014066 0.035428 0.139878 3.623843
2025-09-14 0.002443 0.003897 0.006690 0.013502 0.035166 0.150217 6.574248
2025-09-21 0.002309 0.003736 0.006544 0.013660 0.037924 0.190134 43.649336
2025-09-28 0.002214 0.003641 0.006529 0.014179 0.042587 0.265367 NaN
2025-10-05 0.002161 0.003622 0.006674 0.015198 0.050372 0.428375 NaN
2025-10-12 0.002078 0.003531 0.006642 0.015696 0.056413 0.645213 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001975 0.003392 0.006480 0.015747 0.060312 0.900013 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001886 0.003272 0.006344 0.015853 0.064836 1.323395 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001775 0.003094 0.006050 0.015350 0.065147 1.621772 NaN
2025-11-09 0.001653 0.002889 0.005665 0.014457 0.062229 1.678894 NaN
2025-11-16 0.001551 0.002718 0.005351 0.013759 0.060340 1.819425 NaN
2025-11-23 0.001505 0.002662 0.005318 0.014061 0.066206 3.226434 NaN
2025-11-30 0.001431 0.002541 0.005108 0.013671 0.066419 4.147673 NaN